Formulas

Every number in ri-layercake comes from one of these formulas, each shown with what it means and a worked example. Amounts are in millions; limits and attachments are on a 100% basis, and shares are applied last.

Layers and shares

Exhaust point

The top of a layer: where its cover runs out. A layer “L xs A” starts paying above the attachment A and pays at most its limit L.

Example

50 xs 50 attaches at 50 and exhausts at 50 + 50 = 100.

In the app: the Exhaust figure in the inspector and tooltip.

Loss to a layer (trapped exposure)

How much of a loss, or of a risk's exposure, falls inside a layer: nothing below the attachment, the excess above it, and never more than the limit. The median of the three numbers is the middle one, which does exactly that.

Example

For the layer 40 xs 10:

A 5 lossmedian(0, −5, 40)0 (below the attachment)
A 30 lossmedian(0, 20, 40)20
An 80 lossmedian(0, 70, 40)40 (exhausted)

In the app: Exposure and loss coverage: Per risk and Portfolio.

Order and placed shares

Order % is how much of the 100% layer the cedant puts to market (the rest it keeps as co-reinsurance). Placed % is how much of that order reinsurers actually signed. What is not placed stays with the cedant.

Example

40 xs 10 with an 80% order, 90% placed: share = 80% × 90% = 72%. A 30 loss puts 20 into the layer; reinsurers pay 20 × 72% = 14.4 and the cedant keeps 5.6.

In the app: the Order and Placed columns, and Share with reinsurers in the inspector; unplaced parts are drawn hatched.

Pricing

Price a layer with any one of premium, rate on line or adjusted rate; the other two follow. Entering one clears the others, so they never disagree.

Premium (RTE)

The reinsurance premium for the layer, on a 100% basis. The adjusted rate expresses it as a percentage of the cedant's gross estimated premium income (EPI).

Example

EPI 120 and an adjusted rate of 0.8%: premium = 120 × 0.8% = 0.96.

In the app: Premium (RTE) in the inspector, grid and table.

Rate on line and payback

Rate on line is the premium as a share of the limit: what reinsurers charge per unit of cover. Payback is its inverse: how many loss-free years it takes the premium to pay for one total loss.

Example

5 xs 5 at a premium of 0.96: ROL = 0.96 ÷ 5 = 19.2%, payback = 5 ÷ 0.96 = 5.2 years. Working layers often sit at 40–60% (payback around 2 years), top layers at 1–2%.

In the app: ROL and Payback in the inspector; ROL in the table.

Adjusted rate

The same price expressed on EPI instead of on the limit, which is how a layer's cost compares across the programme and against the cedant's income.

Example

ROL 19.2% on a limit of 5 with EPI 120: 19.2% × 5 ÷ 120 = 0.8%, back where we started.

In the app: Adj. rate in the inspector and table.

Aggregate limit

The most a layer can pay in a year: the original limit plus every reinstatement of it. Unlimited reinstatements mean no annual cap.

Example

5 xs 5 with one reinstatement: 5 × (1 + 1) = 10 in the year. With two: 15.

In the app: Agg limit in the inspector and table.

Reinstatement premium

Paid by the cedant to reinstate cover used by a loss, pro rata to the amount used: r is the reinstatement rate (100% = one full premium) and n the number of reinstatements.

Example

5 xs 5 at 0.96 premium with 1 @ 100%. An 8 loss uses 3 of the 5: RIP = 100% × 0.96 × 3 ÷ 5 = 0.576.

In the app: Reinst. premium in coverage results and the premium walk.

Quota share

Cession, limit and QS premium

A quota share takes a fixed share c of every risk, up to its per-risk limit, which is usually the CRM team's limit for the largest counterparty. It takes the same share of the premium.

Example

QS 20% with a limit of 50 and EPI 120: QS premium = 20% × 120 = 24. A 30 risk cedes 20% × 30 = 6; an 80 risk cedes 20% × 50 = 10 (capped by the limit) and the cedant keeps 70.

In the app: QS premium in the inspector; the QS checks warn when the limit is above the counterparty limit.

Stacked: XoL on the net of the QS (default)

The QS cedes first; what is left passes through every excess of loss layer exactly as written.

Example

Exposure 50, QS 20%: the QS takes 10 and the net 40 enters the XoL. A 40 xs 10 takes median(0, 40 − 10, 40) = 30.

In the app: the Stacked tick in the toolbar (on by default); the QS is drawn as a slab under the tower.

Side by side: XoL lowered by the cession

The XoL protects the retained share only, so each layer's attachment and limit are lowered by the QS cession while calculating.

Example

Same exposure 50 and QS 20%: the 40 xs 10 works as 32 xs 8 on the net 40 and takes median(0, 40 − 8, 32) = 32.

In the app: untick Stacked; the QS is drawn as its own column beside the tower.

Lines with their own QS cession

One QS treaty can cede a different share of each line in the programme; the XoL and stop loss sit over the combined net. Each risk is ceded at its own line's cession.

Example

Credit EPI 200 at 20% and Surety EPI 60 at 30%: QS premium = 20% × 200 + 30% × 60 = 58. With expected loss ratios of 50% and 45%, EL saved = 20% × 100 + 30% × 27 = 28.1. A 20 credit risk cedes 4; the same risk in surety cedes 6.

In the app: Lines in the Programme panel; Risk is in under Per risk coverage.

Stop loss

Stop loss on the net loss ratio

A stop loss protects the year's aggregate result. It is set as loss ratios of the gross EPI: “20% xs 85%” pays once the net loss ratio passes 85%, for up to 20 points.

Example

EPI 80 with SL 20% xs 85%. A year with a net loss of 76 is a 95% loss ratio, so the stop loss pays 95% − 85% = 10 points = 8.

In the app: Exposure and loss coverage: Annual aggregate.

Commercial terms

QS commission

Reinsurers pay the cedant a commission on the ceded premium to cover its acquisition and running costs, so a QS commission usually sits close to the cedant's internal expense ratio.

Example

A 32% commission on a QS premium of 24: 7.68.

In the app: QS terms in the inspector.

Sliding scale commission

Instead of a flat rate, the commission slides with the QS loss ratio: the maximum at or below a low loss ratio, the minimum at or above a high one, and a straight line between. Good years earn more commission.

Example

40% at a loss ratio of 40% or less, 30% at 65% or more. At a 50% loss ratio: 40% − 10% × (50 − 40) ÷ (65 − 40) = 36%.

In the app: QS terms; Annual aggregate shows the rate for a given year.

Reinsurer management expenses and profit commission

Reinsurers keep an allowance for their own expenses, then share any profit left on the QS back with the cedant. A loss-making year pays no profit commission (losses are not carried forward in this version).

Example

QS premium 80, losses 40 (a 50% loss ratio, so a 36% sliding commission = 28.8), RME 5% = 4. Profit = 80 − 40 − 28.8 − 4 = 7.2, and a 20% profit commission pays 1.44.

In the app: QS terms and the Annual aggregate results.

No claims bonus

Part of an XoL layer's premium is returned if the layer stays claim-free for the year.

Example

10% on a premium of 0.42: 0.042 back if 10 xs 10 has no claims. Per risk coverage marks NCB lost when a loss reaches the layer.

In the app: XL terms in the inspector.

Premium walk

From EPI to result and margin

What the cedant keeps after expenses, expected losses and the net cost of its reinsurance. Comparing the result with and without reinsurance gives the cost of the programme.

Example

The per risk XoL starter tower: EPI 120, analytic EL 55%, layers priced at 0.96–1.8 with their expected losses.

EPI (gross)120
− Internal expenses (30% default)36
− XL premium3.4
− Reinst. premium *0.8
− EL (analytic) 55%66
+ EL saved by XL *1.7
− Brokerage (10% of XL premium)0.3
Result15.3
Margin12.8%

Without reinsurance the result would be 18, so the programme costs 2.7 a year in expected terms.

  • Defaults when not entered: internal expenses 30% of EPI; brokerage 10% of XL and stop loss premium and 2.5% of QS premium.
  • Approximations (marked *): EL saved by QS ≈ cession × EL (analytic), capped by the QS aggregate limit; EL saved by XL is each layer's expected loss you enter; reinstatement premium ≈ r × premium × min(layer EL, n × limit) ÷ limit; QS commission and profit commission use the expected ceded loss ratio; NCB is counted in full, assuming no claims.
  • Tax is a rate on ceded reinsurance premium.
  • Reinsurance figures are at each cover's share (order × placed).

In the app: the Premium walk panel, with This portfolio and All portfolios.

Before and after reinsurance

The same programme seen gross and net: loss ratio, expense ratio, combined ratio and margin. Margin is on gross EPI in both columns so the drop is the expected cost of reinsurance; margin on each column's own premium is shown too.

Example

Credit and surety programme: margin 21.2% before reinsurance and 17.0% after, so the programme costs about 4.2 points of EPI in an average year. What it buys shows in the bad year, below.

In the app: the Before RI / After RI table under the Premium walk.

Optimising: loss ratio, margin, capital and RoC

Return on capital and the efficient frontier

Everything is on gross EPI. Reinsurance lowers the net loss ratio and the capital a bad year needs; because reinsurers keep a margin, it also costs some expected margin. Return on capital says whether that trade is worth it. The optimiser simulates 20,000 years of the whole programme and maps RoC across two levers (QS cession by line, QS commission, XoL retention, XoL price, stop loss attachment). The efficient frontier plots every programme by capital and expected margin: points up and to the left are better, rays through the origin are lines of equal RoC, and the best balance of the three is starred, and a third chart shows net loss ratio, margin and RoC side by side for every efficient programme.

Example

Credit and surety, 1-in-200 year: with no reinsurance, net LR 48.9%, margin 21.1%, bad year −21.2%, capital 110, RoC 50.0%. With the 35% / 15% QS and XoL: net LR 33.4%, margin 16.4%, bad year −14.0%, capital 79, RoC 53.9%. The map finds 50% credit and no surety QS at RoC 56.7%: ceding credit pays for the capital it frees; ceding surety does not.

  • Losses: attritional losses are lognormal around (1 − large share) × EL with the line's volatility, correlated between lines. Large losses are a Poisson number a year with Pareto sizes, calibrated so the modelled XoL layer losses match the layer ELs you enter.
  • Programme: each large loss goes through the QS at its line's cession up to the QS limit, then the XoL (stacked or side by side), with the annual cap, reinstatement premium and NCB; the stop loss pays on the year's net loss ratio.
  • Re-pricing: when cession or retention change, XoL premiums follow the modelled layer exposure at the layer's current loading, times the price lever.
  • Placeable: QS cession at most the market maximum (50% by default); reinsurers keep at least 3% after losses, commission, expenses and brokerage, on the QS and on every layer; no layer above 100% rate on line; a stop loss attaches at least 5 points above the expected net loss ratio.
  • The best balance: of the placeable programmes on the map, only the efficient ones count (none is at least as good on net loss ratio, margin and RoC and better on one). Each measure is scaled from 0 (worst on the map) to 1 (best), and the best programme has the highest weighted sum: equal weights by default, adjustable under What matters. All weight on RoC gives the highest return on capital.

In the app: Optimise reinsurance, under the canvas.

Outputs are illustrative, based on the inputs provided, and not pricing or actuarial advice.